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Is the stock-market bottom in/ What the pros say after S&P 500 tests 4,000

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11 months ago

January 2, 2023

Odyssey News

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Stock-market bulls are poking their heads above the parapet, declaring the lows in for the 2022 selloff as indexes extend a bounce off their June lows, while skeptics still see little evidence of more than a bear-market bounce.

The S&P 500 SPX, -0.93% fell 0.9% Friday to close at 3,961.63 but scored a weekly rise of 2.6%, the largest since the week ending June 24. It traded as high as 4,012.44, topping the 4,000 thresholds for the first time since June 9.

As the old saw goes, such disagreements are what makes a market. Here’s a look at where the bulls and bears — and those in between — stand right now.

Contents hide

1 Bullish on breadth

2 Capitulation

3 Skeptics

Bullish on breadth

Expanding market breadth — measures of how many stocks in an index are participating in a move — “affirms 2022 ‘bottom’ is in,” wrote Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors in a Thursday evening note.

“We are starting to see strengthening internals for equity markets, including key leadership improvements from Technology ($QQQ) and small-caps ($IWM) and measures such as advance/decline lines,” Lee wrote.

Other bullish factors include signs that inflation risks are abating as gasoline prices tank and food prices ease, while second-quarter earnings have so far been better than feared and companies report an easing up of “supply-chain” problems, Lee said. Also, a number of previously bullish Wall Street strategists have capitulated, lowering their year-end S&P 500 targets, while institutional investors are arguably near “maximum pessimism” based on a Bank of America survey that showed gross market exposure at 2008 levels.

Capitulation

The question of whether bulls have full capitulated, exhausting the pool of potential sellers and setting the stage for a durable bounce, remains a subject of debate.

Futures positioning by speculators is “incredibly bearish,” said Barry Bannister, who told CNBC on Friday that a summer relief rally could take the S&P 500 to 4,200 or 4,300. Bannister, who has described the S&P 500 as being in a “secular” bear market earlier this week had reiterated his call for a 10% bounce off the June low capable of taking the index to the low 4,000s in a relief rally led by cyclical growth stocks.

On Friday, he questioned whether the S&P 500 would take out the June lows, arguing that he expects a typical midcycle lowdown rather than a full-blown recession. The S&P 500’s fall to its June low, in real terms, was not far out of line with the typical decline that accompanies recession, he said.

Skeptics

Doubters, meanwhile, contend it remains far too early to sound the all-clear.

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who correctly predicted the selloff, argued earlier this week that the market’s “countertrend rally” may continue, but that the bear market is far from over, even if the U.S. economy does dodge recession, according to Bloomberg. Wilson previously warned that a full-blown recession could take the S&P 500 as low as 3,000.

Skeptics also remain unconvinced there has been sufficient capitulation by bulls to clear the way for a lasting rally.

“With such immense bearishness embedded into today’s stock prices, some suggest now is the time to add significant equity exposure. To be sure, markets very well may be oversold technically, and we think the long-run outlook for stock returns has improved markedly since the start of the year, but that is very different from saying the markets have bottomed,” said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors, in a Friday note.

Suzuki offered a laundry list of reasons why investors likely haven’t capitulated sufficiently to ensure a market bottom is in place.

These include valuations that remain elevated, though down significantly from their peak; Wall Street strategists still recommending an equity allocation of 54.6%, only slightly below the long-term median of 56.2%; Wall Street buy ratings on stocks at 57%, nearly the highest in a decade; and volatility readings that remain below levels that typically signal a bottom; and equity flows that signal investors are still buying.

Meanwhile, widespread talk of capitulation creates a paradox of its own.

“If everybody is itching to get into the market at the bottom, it probably means we are still quite a ways from true capitulation,” he said.

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Unveiling the Essence of Tangiers Tobacco

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6 days ago

November 25, 2023

Odyssey

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For those who love hookahs, Tangiers Tobacco is more than just a brand to smoke—it’s an adventure into the world of tastes. We shall go into great detail on the history, types, and customs of Tangiers tobacco in this post.

What makes Tangiers Tobacco Unique?

Tangiers Tobacco is a well blended product that enhances the hookah experience rather than just being tobacco. Although its origins are ancient, what makes it special is the careful farming, harvesting, and processing that results in a flavor profile that is unmatched.

The Origins of Tangiers Tobacco

Tangiers Tobacco

Take a historical tour to discover the origins of Tangiers Tobacco. Learn how this flavor has changed and endured over time, from traditional uses to current farming.

Tangiers Tobacco Varieties

Explore the wide-ranging universe of Tangiers Tobacco. Discover the vast selection that suits all palates, from traditional mixes to cutting-edge flavors.

Cultivation Techniques

Learn about the science and art involved in producing excellent Tangiers tobacco. To cultivate the ideal blend, every detail counts, from climate considerations to soil makeup.

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Trace Tangiers Tobacco’s path from the fields to your hookah. Discover the painstaking harvesting and processing method that guarantees the best quality possible in each puff.

Why Tangiers Tobacco Stands Out

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The Art of Smoking Tangiers

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Tangiers Tobacco and Health

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Tangiers Tobacco Culture

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Pairing Tangiers Tobacco

Tangiers Tobacco

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In summary, Tangiers Tobacco is a cultural phenomenon more than just a place to smoke. It remains a connoisseur’s choice thanks to its extensive history, wide range of flavors, and international fan base. Accept the voyage, relish the tastes, and immerse yourself in Tangiers Tobacco’s lively universe.

Also Visit: Hookah Coals Near Me: Unveiling the Ultimate Smoking Experience

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Hookah Coals Near Me: Unveiling the Ultimate Smoking Experience

Published

6 days ago

November 25, 2023

Odyssey

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The search for the ideal hookah coals begins here, in the world of extraordinary hookah experiences. To enjoy a rich and enjoyable smoke, it’s important to choose the best hookah coals nearby, regardless of experience level. We’ll take you on a journey to discover the subtleties of hookah coals in this guide, leading you to the greatest solutions out there.

Exploring the Variety

Understanding the Types of Hookah Coals

Explore the vast realm of hookah coals to start your hookah journey. We weigh the benefits and drawbacks of each alternative, from instant lighting to natural coconut coals, so you can make an informed decision.

The Advantages of Coconut Hookah Coals

Hookah Coals Near Me

Find out why many aficionados now favor coconut hookah coals over other options. We discuss their long-lasting burn, eco-friendliness, and overall hookah experience enhancement.

Quick-Lighting Coals: A Convenient Option

Coal may be a quick-lighting option for convenience-seekers. We go over how quickly they ignite and point out circumstances in which they might work best for your hookah sessions.

Navigating the Market

Local Smoke Shops: Your Go-To for Immediate Needs

Look into the convenience of nearby smoking establishments to locate hookah coals. We offer guidance on what to consider and how to guarantee the quality of the coals you are buying.

Online Retailers: A World of Options at Your Fingertips

Explore the wide range of options provided by internet merchants. We walk you through the process of navigating internet marketplaces to discover the ideal hookah coals, from specialized brands to affordable options.

Hookah Coals Near Me: Ensuring Quality

Key Factors in Choosing Hookah Coals

Hookah Coals Near Me

Find out the important things to think about when choosing hookah coals. We present a checklist that covers everything from burn time to ash generation to ensure you get the most out of the coals you’ve selected.

Customer Reviews: Your Insightful Guide

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A2: Understanding the burn time of coconut hookah coals is crucial. We share tips on maximizing their lifespan for extended and enjoyable hookah sessions.

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Q4: Can I Mix Different Types of Hookah Coals?
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Q6: How Often Should I Clean My Hookah Coals?
A6: Maintaining clean hookah coals is vital for flavor consistency. We provide a step-by-step guide on cleaning frequency and methods.

Conclusion

Armed with knowledge and ideas, you’re sure to take your hookah sessions to new heights as you go out on your quest to locate the ideal hookah coals nearby. The secret is to make an informed choice according to your tastes, regardless of whether you choose the quick-lighting convenience of coals or the environmentally friendly appeal of coconut coals.